Copy Trading in Prediction Markets: How It Works, Platforms & Edge

What Is Copy Trading in Prediction Markets?

Copy trading in prediction markets is when you replicate another trader’s positions on the outcomes of real-world events—politics, sports, crypto, culture. Instead of picking markets yourself, you choose a wallet or account with a proven track record (e.g. 60%+ win rate over 50+ trades, positive PnL), see their open positions and entry prices, then place the same YES or NO trades on the same markets. You get a criteria-based edge without building bots or doing all the screening yourself. For a step-by-step on Polymarket specifically, see how to copy trade on Polymarket.

Prediction markets let you trade on whether an event will happen (yes) or not (no). Prices reflect the crowd’s probability; if you buy YES at 40¢ and the event happens, you typically receive $1 per share. Copy trading in this context means following someone who has already demonstrated an edge over many trades, then executing the same positions yourself on platforms like Polymarket or, for wallet users, MetaMask Prediction Markets (powered by Polymarket—trade in two taps from inside the MetaMask app).

Where Can You Copy Trade Prediction Markets?

The main venues where you can copy trade prediction markets today are:

• Polymarket — The largest decentralized prediction market. You trade on the web at Polymarket.com. Leaderboard data is public; tools like HolyPoly filter it by win rate and PnL and turn top wallets into copy-ready playbooks. You execute the same trades manually on Polymarket.
• MetaMask Prediction Markets — You can trade prediction markets directly in MetaMask, powered by Polymarket. Trade sports, politics, crypto, and culture in two taps from the MetaMask app, with access to the same liquidity and markets. Copy trading works the same way: you find top Polymarket wallets (e.g. via a leaderboard), get their positions and entry prices, then replicate those trades either on Polymarket.com or in MetaMask.

There is no single “copy button” that auto-executes for you on these platforms. Copy trading here is manual: you get instructions (market, side, entry, size, exit) and you place the trades yourself. That keeps you in control and avoids handing over API keys or custody. For when copy trading beats manual picking, see Polymarket copy trading vs manual trading.

How to Find the Best Prediction Market Traders to Copy

A raw leaderboard sorted only by 30-day PnL can surface one big winner who got lucky. For copy trading you want consistent edge:

• Win rate — 60%+ on at least 50 closed trades so you’re not copying noise.
• Positive PnL over several weeks or months.
• Volume — Enough activity to show they’re actively trading and the stats are meaningful.

Use a tool that applies these filters so you see only wallets worth copying. HolyPoly ranks Polymarket wallets by win rate and PnL, filters to 60%+ win rate and 50+ trades, and turns the best into copy-ready playbooks. You can then execute the same trades on Polymarket or, if you use MetaMask, via MetaMask Prediction Markets. For the full criteria, read best Polymarket wallets to copy: criteria and tools.

How Do Copy Trading Tools Work for Prediction Markets?

Copy-trading tools for prediction markets don’t place trades for you. They (1) scan on-chain or public leaderboard data, (2) filter by win rate, trade count, and PnL, and (3) output copy-ready instructions: market, side (YES/NO), entry price, suggested size, and exit trigger. You take those instructions and execute the same trades yourself on Polymarket or MetaMask Prediction Markets.

HolyPoly gives you a leaderboard pre-filtered by these criteria, wallet profiles with PnL and open positions, and playbooks with BUY/SELL instructions. You get 3 wallets to copy free to try the flow; then you can upgrade for unlimited wallets and full playbooks. For how to evaluate individual wallets, see how to evaluate Polymarket traders.

Risks of Copy Trading in Prediction Markets

Copy trading in prediction markets carries the same risks as trading them yourself, plus a few extra:

• Past performance ≠ future results — A 65% win rate over 100 trades doesn’t guarantee the next 100 will be similar.
• The trader can change or stop — They might reduce size, shift strategy, or stop trading.
• Timing and slippage — By the time you copy, prices may have moved; you might get a worse fill or less liquidity.
• Regulation and availability — Prediction markets are not available in all jurisdictions. MetaMask and Polymarket restrict access in certain regions (e.g. US, UK, and others). Check your local rules before trading.

Only risk what you can afford to lose. For strategy ideas and category focus, see Polymarket strategies: politics, crypto & sports.

Frequently Asked Questions: Copy Trading in Prediction Markets

What is copy trading in prediction markets?

Copy trading in prediction markets means replicating another trader’s YES/NO positions on event outcomes. You choose a wallet or account with a strong track record (e.g. 60%+ win rate, 50+ trades, positive PnL), see their open positions and entry prices, then place the same trades yourself on a platform like Polymarket or MetaMask Prediction Markets. Tools like HolyPoly rank wallets and give you copy-ready playbooks; you execute manually.

Where can I copy trade prediction markets?

You can copy trade on prediction market platforms such as Polymarket (on the web) and MetaMask Prediction Markets (in-app, powered by Polymarket). Both offer politics, sports, crypto, and culture markets. Copy-trading tools rank top Polymarket wallets and provide copy-ready instructions; you place the same trades yourself on your chosen platform. Availability may be restricted in some countries.

How do I find the best prediction market traders to copy?

Look for traders with 60%+ win rate on at least 50 closed trades, positive PnL over several weeks, and meaningful volume. Use a leaderboard that filters by these criteria (e.g. HolyPoly) instead of raw PnL alone, so you copy consistent edge rather than one-off luck. Avoid copying wallets with a tiny sample size or a single big win.

What are the risks of copy trading prediction markets?

Risks include past performance not guaranteeing future results, the copied trader changing strategy or stopping, liquidity and slippage when entering the same positions, and regulatory limits in some regions. Prediction markets are not available in all jurisdictions (e.g. US, UK, and several other countries restrict access). Only risk what you can afford to lose.